Some people have been dropping by on the search string “golden globes liveblog”. No luck for them tonight — I had to work and missed the show. (Besides, they don’t broadcast it live here on the West Coast.) I still plan to liveblog the Oscars and the Independent Spirit Awards, like I did last year.

What I can offer is a summation. Here are this year’s winners in the movie categories:

Picture, Drama: “Brokeback Mountain”

Actress, Drama: Felicity Huffman, “Transamerica”

Actor, Drama: Philip Seymour Hoffman, “Capote”

Picture, Musical or Comedy: “Walk the Line”

Actress, Musical or Comedy: Reese Witherspoon, “Walk the Line”

Actor, Musical or Comedy: Joaquin Phoenix, “Walk the Line”

Supporting Actress: Rachel Weisz, “The Constant Gardener”

Supporting Actor: George Clooney, “Syriana”

Director: Ang Lee, “Brokeback Mountain”

Screenplay: Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, “Brokeback Mountain”

Foreign Language: “Paradise Now,” Palestine

Original Score: John Williams, “Memoirs of a Geisha”

Original Song: “A Love That Will Never Grow Old” from “Brokeback Mountain”

So what we really want to know is… does this bode well for Brokeback‘s Oscar chances?

Continue reading about Oscars vs. Golden Globes…I took the liberty of drawing up a quick table comparing last year’s winners.

*** Scroll down; I’m too tired tonight to figure out why it’s leaving a big blank space before it. ***

Oscars vs. Golden Globes 2005
Academy Award Golden Globe
Best Picture Million Dollar Baby The Aviator (drama)/ Sideways(comedy)
Best Actor Jamie Foxx Leonardo DiCaprio (drama)/ Jamie Foxx (comedy)
Best Actress Hilary Swank Hilary Swank (drama)/ Annette Bening (comedy)
Best Supporting Actor Morgan Freeman Clive Owen
Best Supporting Actress Cate Blanchett Natalie Portman
Best Screenplay Charlie Kaufman – Eternal Sunshine (original)/ Alexander Payne & Jim Taylor – Sideways (adapted) Alexander Payne & Jim Taylor – Sideways
Best Score Jan A.P. Kaczmarek – Finding Neverland Howard Shore – The Aviator
Best Original Song “Al otro lado del rio” “Old Habits Die Hard”
Best Director Clint Eastwood Clint Eastwood

*I didn’t bother comparing Best Foreign Films because the Academy’s rules for choosing the nominees are so arcane.

Analysis: You can see immediately that the Hollywood Foreign Press had two chances to pick Million Dollar Baby last year and didn’t. Although they were close to the academy on acting picks — and remember they get two chances, because they split dramas and comedies — they diverged for both the Supporting acting categories. They agreed that Clint was the best director, a surprise since almost everyone felt Marty Scorsese was due last year. So Ang Lee’s chances look good, at least, by this measure.

The remaining categories were a crapshoot, with the Oscars agreeing with the anointment of the screenplay for Sideways while throwing a bone to Chuck Kaufman, whose literate screenplay was bound not to play with the emotional HFPA. The HFPA disagreed completely with the Academy when it came to music.

Overall, the Globes are probably no better a predictor than the Guilds’. That’s how I see it, anyway. Thoughts?